Hibs and Killie
appear so closely matched in tomorrow's CIS Insurance Cup final that the
non-aligned betting man would require a gun at his head to force him to
have a bet. Only active supporters of the respective combatants are
likely to feel an irresistible urge to plunge, with utterly
uncomplicated certainty, on their heroes.

Without the
unbalancing presence of either Celtic or Rangers, Scottish football's
first showcase event of the season promises to deliver an endlessly
intriguing contest between teams enjoying the rare experience of
justifiable optimism.
If Hibs are
marginally favoured by the bookmakers, separation in the odds about each
may have been achieved by statistics, as opposed to visual evidence of
any pronounced superiority in overall strength.
With the
protagonists sharing fifth place in the Bank of Scotland Premierleague
on 43 points, a distinction of sorts is made possible only by scrutiny
of the respective goals columns.
Kilmarnock's
largely unimpressive 41-46 makes a potentially telling contrast with
Hibs' 48-34, suggesting that Jim Jefferies' side have an alarming
tendency towards low productivity and a high rate of concession.
As is often the
case with statistics, however, the figures do not square with the
impression of the Rugby Park side throughout the season as one capable
of holding their own in most company. If their deepest "shame" so far is
a failure to inflict any damage on Celtic after three outings, they are
hardly alone.
What they do
boast from their three league meetings with tomorrow's rivals at Hampden
Park is an even share of the points, with a win, a defeat and a draw.
That is a sequence that would reinforce the disinterested punter's
commitment to keeping his money in his pocket.
If the stats also
suggest that Kilmarnock are a typically stolid, well-drilled Jefferies
side, they fail to make allowances for the improvisational skills of a
player of the quality of Stevie Naismith.
In conversation
the other day, the Hibs manager, John Collins, spoke admiringly of the
young forward, clearly aware that he could bring bother to his own
defence if allowed space and time in which to give an exhibition of his
array of gifts.
"Naismith is
technically very accomplished," said Collins, "and he is also a good
finisher, having scored a fair number of goals for somebody who tends to
play in wider areas. He is undoubtedly one of Kilmarnock's strengths.
But what we'll have to do is identify their weaknesses and find a way of
exploiting them."
The image of
Kilmarnock - or, more specifically, their manager - as fundamentally
cautious was blurred by Jefferies yesterday, when he declared himself
highly optimistic over the prospects of an aesthetically pleasing final.
In doing so, he offered encouraging insight, drawn from experience.
"Cup finals not
involving one of the Old Firm teams tend to be much more open," said
Jefferies. "Playing against Celtic or Rangers, you can be tempted into
concentrating on stopping them from playing, rather than focusing on
your own, natural game.
"What we have on
Sunday is a match between two teams who each know they're capable of
beating the other. We've already had very good, open games with Hibs in
recent times, with plenty of goals. There have been nine in the three
games we've played this season.
"I really think
this match on Sunday could be like the Scottish Cup final in 1991
between Motherwell and Dundee United, which finished 4-3. Having said
that, of course, it'll probably be a scoreless draw. But, looking at the
two teams, I honestly don't think there's any chance of that."
If the evidence
so far suggests that Hibs at their best are the more inventive and
adventurous of the two, it should be of some concern to their followers
that they will have to win the cup without their most prolific striker,
Chris Killen.
The big New
Zealander's absence through injury is a setback whose significance
cannot be overstated. Not only the leading scorer at his club, but in
the country, before he was rendered inactive, Killen was the productive
focal point for Hibs' thrusting style, as typified by the surges of
Scott Brown and the incisive passing of Guillaume Beuzelin from
midfield.
Collins admitted
that a certain reduction of his team's overall effectiveness was
inevitable as a result of losing the services of a player as valuable as
Killen.
"No team can do
without a player like him without being diminished to some extent," said
the manager. "He scored too many goals not to have been of exceptional
value. But Benji [Abdessalam Benjelloun] has come in and proved to be a
very capable deputy, scoring a few goals for us."
Collins remains
unmoved by the suggestion that, in losing last season's Tennent's
Scottish Cup semi-final to Hearts and the CIS Cup final to Livingston
three years ago, Hibs have shown an alarming unreliability on the most
demanding occasions.
"From what I've
seen of this group of players," he said, "I'm convinced they rise to the
big occasion and this is the biggest they will have faced since I came
here. I think they'll thrive on the circumstances, a big stadium, a
great crowd and a brilliant atmosphere.
"It's all to do
with self-belief and I believe they have plenty of that. It's also a
question of getting them relaxed, playing the game of which they're
capable, making the passes, playing as a team. If they can do that, they
will have a real chance of winning the cup.
"We all have
respect here for Kilmarnock. We've had enough good games with them to
know how difficult they will be. But we have faith in ourselves and it's
a matter of producing our best work on the day."
The rookie
Collins, only four-and-a-half months into his first job as a manager,
will be aware that the veteran Jefferies, no stranger to cup finals,
will also have his team properly prepared to meet the challenge.
Whatever the outcome, the journey towards it should be fascinating.
Fifth Time Lucky For Killie?
Kilmarnock are aiming to make
it fifth time lucky in League Cup finals
tomorrow and end a 45-year jinx.
No
other club in Scotland can equal
Kilmarnock’s uncanny knack of losing these
showpiece showdowns. Their unenviable record
reads played four and lost four, without a
single goal to their credit.
Yet diehard Kilmarnock
fans draw comfort from their long losing
streak, reasoning that the gods of football
cannot allow them to suffer forever.
Sandy Tyrie, a football
historian and lifelong Rugby Park regular,
said: “It’s about time our luck changed, and
it would be good if we could turn it around
against Hibernian. I have seen the last
three of our League Cup final defeats, and
I’ll be there at Hampden wishing that we can
complete our hat-trick of domestic trophies.
I’ve seen us
win
the championship and
the Scottish Cup.
Now there’s just one to go.”
Kilmarnock
began their unhappy association with League
Cup finals in 1952, when they battled
through to the last match as a Division B
team. They had dumped Rangers out in the
semi-finals, but couldn’t overcome Dundee at
Hampden. They were sunk by two goals in the
last ten minutes from Bobby Flavell, who
went on to play for Kilmarnock.
They
were back again for the final eight years
later, in an era when they boasted one of
the best teams in the club’s history. They
had finished runners-up in the first
division the season before, and were on
their way to another second-place finish
when they met the champions-elect, Rangers,
at Hampden.
Tyrie said: “I was at
Hampden for that game as a 13-year-old boy,
and we lost 2-0 again. I had seen us lose
2-0 against Rangers in the Scottish Cup
final a few months earlier, so it didn’t
come as a shock. But we were in the match
until right near the end, when they scored
their second.”
The
closest Kilmarnock have come to lifting the
League Cup was in their third final
appearance
in 1962, when they lost 1-0 to Heart of
Midlothian. Even then it needed a mysterious
refereeing decision to deprive them of the
prize.
The conundrum still
exercises troubled football minds in
Kilmarnock to this day — just why did the
referee chalk off a perfectly good own goal
that would have taken the match into
extra-time?
Tyrie recalls: “We were
trailing by a goal, and in the last seconds
we had a free kick. It was played into the
penalty area, and one of their players rose
above everybody and headed it into the back
of his own net. The Killie fans went mad
thinking we were going for extra-time. But
the referee disallowed it. Nobody knew why.
The Hearts players certainly didn’t complain
when the ball went in.


“Eventually,
the referee went to the linesman to consult
him, but the goal was still disallowed. To
this day, nobody can explain why. The only
explanation I can come up with was it was
raining and cold and he’d had enough. He
wanted to get back into the dressing-room
and have his cup of tea rather than face
extra-time.
“The referee was a man
named Tom Wharton, who was known as Tiny
because he was a really big guy. Every time
Tiny came to our ground for years after that
he suffered abuse. And deservedly so.”
Kilmarnock’s most recent
trip to the League Cup final ended in a
landslide of Henrik Larsson goals, as Celtic
won 3-0
in 2001. “We held our own for a long
spell, but Celtic were better in the end,”
Tyrie said.
“But we’re going into the
game with Hibs feeling really buoyant. It
will be a hard game, but it could finally be
our turn at last. At the very least, I’d
like to see us a score a goal.”
Hay the last survivor of side sunk by
Larsson
Garry Hay stands
alone in the Kilmarnock team as being able to say
he was there in 2001
when the Rugby Park side were speared by genius in a cup final. Despite
having their hopes of success buoyed by Celtic striker Chris Sutton's
red card early in the second-half Kilmarnock were confronted by an
opponent on a one-man mission.
Henrik Larsson scored an exquisite hat-trick and, with
three pieces of inspiration, cast a pall over the post-match meal
organised by the club. The outcome was made more wounding due to
Kilmarnock having been offered the opportunity to get back into the game
by Sutton's red card shortly after Larsson had opened the scoring.
"Celtic got Chris
Sutton sent off (below) and we thought to ourselves 'we have got a chance if we
keep Celtic quiet'," recalled Hay. "We tried to make a push but Henrik
Larsson scored straight from a corner at the start of the second half
and that was that.
"Celtic then were
stronger than they are now and Hibs this time around will probably be
the favourites with the bookies," Hay continued. "That will probably
suit us because we like going about our business quietly."
Hay was this week
reminded by his manager Jim Jefferies that he has a rare opportunity to
create history by becoming the first Kilmarnock skipper to lift the
League Cup. Should this come to pass it will make-up for the wake he
attended after the 2001 final defeat. "[Ian] Durrant took us back to a
restaurant in Newton Mearns for a meal with the families," recalled
Hay."It was a bit flat and quiet in the end. Cup finals are great
occasions when you win but not when you don't."
Hay witnessed the
joy which enveloped Kilmarnock
in 1997 when the team brought back the
Scottish Cup for the first time in nearly 70 years. The Irvine-born
left-back was just beginning his long association with the club and
shared the delight at the outcome.
"I was a
first-year pro in 1997 and went on the bus with the players' wives,
girlfriends and families," he recalled. "I do not know how the players
felt but it was great to talk to them about it afterwards. We now have a
chance to make our own bit of history with Kilmarnock."
But having been
on the outside looking in back in 1997 and a frustrated loser six years
ago, Hay is determined to make this a day which places him firmly in the
centre of the frame. He appreciates his photograph will be the one
preserved for posterity should Kilmarnock claim the cup, although he is
prepared to share centre-stage. Gary Locke, the injured club captain,
might be invited to reprise his emotional lifting of the Scottish Cup
with Stevie Fulton, when, again injured, he was urged up to the podium
by Hearts team-mates in 1998. "I have tried not to think about holding
up the cup too much but sometimes it can't help drift into your head,"
he said. "And I don't care who comes up there to lift it with me."