Bullitt Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 7 hours ago, kevin1869 said: Just a quick 2 minute calculation... OF vs LL : (R v L1, C v L2), (R v L1, L2 v C), (L1 v R, L2 v C), (L1 v R, C v L2) : This is the possible home and away draws for the OF against Lower league teams, but we also have to reverse L1 and L2 (so add (R v L2, C v L1), ...) etc. and this doubles the count, and if we reverse Celtic and Rangers (so Celtic are drawn first), this doubles it again, so 16 OF vs LL pairs could come out of the hat. These pairs can be drawn in six different ways - (Game 1, Game 2), (1, 3), etc. - and there are 4 other teams that we don't care about, with 4! possible draws between them in the remaining spots. And there are 8! possible draws in total (Pick one from 8 teams in the hat at first, then one from 7, 6...). So that's (16 * 6 * 4!)/8! = 0.057, so about a 5.7% chance. If you want to just count the OF both getting home draws, that's only one of our original four pairs, so you can factor this probability by 1/4, and that's about a 1.4% chance. Lucky them. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calummoore86 Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 7 hours ago, kevin1869 said: Just a quick 2 minute calculation... OF vs LL : (R v L1, C v L2), (R v L1, L2 v C), (L1 v R, L2 v C), (L1 v R, C v L2) : This is the possible home and away draws for the OF against Lower league teams, but we also have to reverse L1 and L2 (so add (R v L2, C v L1), ...) etc. and this doubles the count, and if we reverse Celtic and Rangers (so Celtic are drawn first), this doubles it again, so 16 OF vs LL pairs could come out of the hat. These pairs can be drawn in six different ways - (Game 1, Game 2), (1, 3), etc. - and there are 4 other teams that we don't care about, with 4! possible draws between them in the remaining spots. And there are 8! possible draws in total (Pick one from 8 teams in the hat at first, then one from 7, 6...). So that's (16 * 6 * 4!)/8! = 0.057, so about a 5.7% chance. If you want to just count the OF both getting home draws, that's only one of our original four pairs, so you can factor this probability by 1/4, and that's about a 1.4% chance. Lucky them. Nae bother Professor Frink.. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Souleycouley93 Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 We are more than capable in a one off tie against anyone . Hope we go and do them . Think this is our year. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kfc_superteam Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 The thing is we have Steve Clarke. Yes he hasn't beaten them yet, but he will have learned from the last 2 defeats against them. He managed to outfox Rodgers and Murty, something Mcinnes has yet to do. Yes it is a stinking draw but we never have a better chance of beating them. I'm sure Clarke is already plotting how to do this. Would love to beat a Mcinnes team! Aberdeens success comes from getting their wide men in and putting you under pressure by putting lots of balls on the box. We make ourselves compact so they can't play through the middle. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigdodge Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 SC won't want another game added to our already too big backlog of games. He will want to go there and get the job done at first time of asking. A one off game in which anything can happen. Trust in The Lord Stevie. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrangodog Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 2 hours ago, Scooby_Doo said: I'm not so sure about that after Saturday! Well they'll need to work tomorrow night. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mclean07 Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 16 hours ago, Beaker71 said: Sorry but this is supposedly a fair draw and not fixed, yet the bigot brothers just happen to get the lowest ranked teams in the draw at home! GTF SFA, shower of corrupt bastards. worst possible draw apart from Celtic at the tattiedome. More paranoid rubbish from the King of paranoia,. There was a period not so long ago when they were always getting drawn together. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carpetfitter Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 Obviously would have preferred to have bitch slapped Falkirk again or played the Ton. However, the sheep are definitely beatable. Dodgy defensively, not at the level they were and of course we are MAGNIFICENT. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trenwick Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 Was that not so Sky or BT sport could show the biggest derby in world football or so the journos up here would spout when they didn't have the league fixtures 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a1killiefan Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 Freddie owes us a favour for last season 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fankle Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 Ok stattos, I've foolishly gone on holiday without Everygame, can someone confirm if Aberdeen are the only team we've played in the cup and never beaten? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrangodog Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 25 minutes ago, Fankle said: Ok stattos, I've foolishly gone on holiday without Everygame, can someone confirm if Aberdeen are the only team we've played in the cup and never beaten? Inverness Thistle ? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ki11ie Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 Need a big traveling support, 90 mims from the semi. Aberdeen very beatable 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bute-killiefan Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Fankle said: Ok stattos, I've foolishly gone on holiday without Everygame, can someone confirm if Aberdeen are the only team we've played in the cup and never beaten? We beat them in the league cup a few years ago, Sammon netted two I think. Not sure about the Scottish Cup though 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fankle Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 35 minutes ago, Wrangodog said: Inverness Thistle ? Good one, although we did beat their successor club. 1 minute ago, bute-killiefan said: We beat them in the league cup a few years ago, Sammon netted two I think. Not sure about the Scottish Cup though Scottish Cup, we've drawn them 7 times before and ended up losing each tie. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinger Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 Runs come to an end eventually and Aberdeen must be aware that they are unlikely to string further uninterrupted wins against us, particularly now that we are in a positive mood with our own good run of games. Watched them on TV yesterday and although they won against Dundee Utd they were far from impressive throughout the match. McKay-Steven won't wander past our defence as he did yesterday but we all know how good Freddie can be so our goals will have to be quality. Steve is demanding a decent KO time from these clowns in the SFA so we will have to wait and see. We must take up a good support anyhow. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mathematics Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 1 hour ago, bute-killiefan said: We beat them in the league cup a few years ago, Sammon netted two I think. Not sure about the Scottish Cup though Sammon ran riot that night. First glimpse that he could actually be a player. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CB Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, mathematics said: Sammon ran riot that night. First glimpse that he could actually be a player. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=McM2a7Vu0M8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hindes57 Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 Beat the Sheep, Rankers in the Semis, Motherwell in the final....It's all ours, job done! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mister Y Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 7 hours ago, trenwick said: Was that not so Sky or BT sport could show the biggest derby in world football or so the journos up here would spout when they didn't have the league fixtures Exactly right! They panicked that sevco would get knocked out so made sure they got drawn against the other cheek earlier than usual. Now they've reverted to the 'home ties against lower tier opposition' model. -1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RayD Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 We'll win 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bute-killiefan Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 1 hour ago, mathematics said: Sammon ran riot that night. First glimpse that he could actually be a player. I remember going with my dad and couldn't believe how good he was 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrewWylie Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 If we wear an all blue top white shirts and blue socks Aberdeen an mcinnes will bottle it and we will win 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tanerba'Tam Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 On a romantic notion wish we had a Ryanair type guy connection and we could fly Prestwick/Aberdeen & return same day for a realistic price. Four plane loads would be about 1,000..... Is Michael O’Leary a secret Killie fan.....offer him a free seat on the Board and guarantee him the European trips.... that day is coming..... 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IMO Posted February 12, 2018 Report Share Posted February 12, 2018 Ooohhh that pitch when we beat Aberdeen 4 2 looks well lush! 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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